Blue Jays at Yankees
TOR3–
NYY8Last play · Charles McAdoo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TOR 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 2 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham walks. George Lombard Jr. scores. Spencer Jones to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Yankees
8Trent Grisham homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.3–8
8Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Myles Straw scores.3–7
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Cody Bellinger scores.2–7
6Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Brett Bateman. Spencer Jones scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.2–5
6Trent Grisham walks. George Lombard Jr. scores. Spencer Jones to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.2–3
4Daz Cameron out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. George Springer scores.2–2
3Brett Bateman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Charles McAdoo scores. Myles Straw to 3rd.1–2
2Austin Wells doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brett Bateman. Spencer Jones scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.