Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CHC 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
CHC 2 – 9 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 4) — -13% Cubs
8Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to left fielder Otto Kemp. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Matt Shaw to 2nd.7–13
8Matt Shaw reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Alec Bohm. Miguel Amaya scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.6–13
8Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Marsh. Moisés Ballesteros scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Brandon Marsh.5–13
8Moisés Ballesteros singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Ian Happ scores.3–13
7Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Edmundo Sosa scores. Otto Kemp to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Dansby Swanson.2–13
6J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Adolis García scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.2–12
6Alec Bohm grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Carson Kelly. Bryce Harper scores. Adolis García to 3rd.2–11
6Adolis García doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.2–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
CHC7–
PHI13