D-backs at Phillies
Last play · Justin Crawford challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Justin Crawford called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies0%
AZ 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 0 PHI
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Trea Turner homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Justin Crawford scores. (inning 6) — +31% Phillies
8Adrian Del Castillo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Jose Fernandez scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd.4–3
8Jose Fernandez singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Geraldo Perdomo scores.3–3
6Bryce Harper doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jorge Barrosa. Kyle Schwarber scores.2–3
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Trea Turner homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Justin Crawford scores.2–2
6Nolan Arenado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adolis García. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.2–0
2James McCann doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Nolan Arenado scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
