Giants at Phillies
Last play · Justin Crawford singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Bryson Stott scores.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SF 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 1 PHI
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Adolis García scores. (inning 9) — +42% Phillies
9Justin Crawford singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Bryson Stott scores.2–3
9Bryson Stott triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Adolis García scores.2–2
1Kyle Schwarber homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Casey Schmitt singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Matt Chapman scores.2–0
1Luis Arraez grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Heliot Ramos scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
