Giants at Phillies
Last play · Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Adolis García scores.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SF 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brandon Marsh scores. (inning 9) — +42% Phillies
10Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Adolis García scores.5–6
9Kyle Schwarber doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brandon Marsh scores.5–5
9Jung Hoo Lee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Casey Schmitt scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.5–4
6Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Drew Gilbert scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.4–4
5Adolis García singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.2–4
5Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Casey Schmitt scores.2–2
4Heliot Ramos out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Eric Haase scores.1–2
1Kyle Schwarber homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
