Athletics at Phillies
Last play · Jacob Wilson grounds out softly, pitcher Brad Keller to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATH 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 2 – 1 PHI
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Zack Gelof. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores. Adolis García to 2nd. (inning 8) — +61% Phillies
8Justin Crawford grounds out, pitcher Hogan Harris to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Edmundo Sosa scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.3–6
8Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Zack Gelof. Adolis García scores. Edmundo Sosa to 2nd.3–5
8Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Zack Gelof. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores. Adolis García to 2nd.3–4
6Adolis García homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
6Tyler Soderstrom homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Felix Reyes grounds out, shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Brandon Marsh scores.2–1
5Nick Kurtz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Zack Gelof scores.2–0
3Jacob Wilson singles on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Lawrence Butler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
