Athletics at Phillies
ATH12–
PHI1Last play · Brandon Marsh grounds out to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
Win probability
Phillies0%
ATH 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 10 – 1 PHI
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shea Langeliers homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Kurtz scores. (inning 1) — -21% Athletics
7Zack Gelof homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Lawrence Butler scores.12–1
5Nick Kurtz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Zack Gelof scores.10–1
5Zack Gelof triples (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Lawrence Butler scores.9–1
4Kyle Schwarber homers (12) on a line drive to right field.8–1
4Brent Rooker singles on a soft line drive to second baseman Bryson Stott. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 3rd.8–0
3Jacob Wilson homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Cortes scores.7–0
3Carlos Cortes singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Tyler Soderstrom scores.5–0
1Brent Rooker homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Soderstrom scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.