Guardians at Phillies
Last play · Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CLE 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+138 / -167
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm scores. (inning 4) — +22% Phillies
6Adolis García walks. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.0–3
4Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
