White Sox at Phillies
CWS6–
PHI8Last play · Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CWS 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -192
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 2) — +26% Phillies
7Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.6–8
7Edmundo Sosa out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Kyle Schwarber scores.6–7
7Colson Montgomery singles on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Chase Meidroth scores.6–6
6Derek Hill homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.5–6
5Randal Grichuk homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.4–6
4Adolis García homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
3Randal Grichuk homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–5
2Alec Bohm doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner scores. Alec Bohm out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Sam Antonacci to shortstop Luisangel Acuña to catcher Edgar Quero to third baseman Colson Montgomery.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.