White Sox at Phillies
Last play · Randal Grichuk grounds into a double play, shortstop Trea Turner to second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Chase Meidroth out at 2nd. Randal Grichuk out at 1st.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CWS 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 5 – 7 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -173
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Andrew Benintendi scores. Colson Montgomery scores. (inning 5) — -31% White Sox
6Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Bryce Harper scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.5–9
6Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.5–8
5Justin Crawford grounds into a double play, shortstop Chase Meidroth to first baseman Miguel Vargas to third baseman Colson Montgomery. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott out at 3rd.5–7
5Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Brandon Marsh scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.5–6
5Alec Bohm doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Rikuu Nishida. Bryce Harper scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.5–5
5Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Andrew Benintendi scores. Colson Montgomery scores.5–4
3Brandon Marsh homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
3Tristan Peters doubles (15) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
