Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Alec Bohm triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder José Fermín. Bryce Harper scores. Edmundo Sosa scores.
Win probability
Phillies100%
STL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 3 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+227 / -246
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder José Fermín. Bryce Harper scores. Edmundo Sosa scores. (inning 10) — +39% Phillies
10Alec Bohm triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder José Fermín. Bryce Harper scores. Edmundo Sosa scores.6–7
10José Fermín singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Alec Burleson scores.6–5
8Bryan Torres singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Alec Burleson scores. Everson Pereira to 2nd.5–5
6Justin Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Everson Pereira. Brandon Marsh scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.4–5
6J.T. Realmuto doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Alec Bohm scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.4–4
6Jordan Walker homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Iván Herrera scores.4–3
3Alec Bohm singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Luis Arraez scores.2–3
2J.T. Realmuto doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Brandon Marsh scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
