Nationals at Pirates
Last play · Nick Yorke pops out to first baseman Curtis Mead in foul territory.
Win probability
Pirates0%
WSH 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 5 – 4 PIT
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -192
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Pirates favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Bart homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +15% Pirates
5Joey Bart homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.5–4
4Nick Gonzales grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr. Bryan Reynolds scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.5–3
4Marcell Ozuna doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.5–2
4Luis García Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood to 3rd.5–1
3CJ Abrams homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
1Brandon Lowe homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
1CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile to 2nd.3–0
1Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Luis García Jr. scores. Brady House to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
