Rays at Pirates

Scoreboard

TB3–PIT6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · TB 12-9 · PIT 13-9

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	6	1
PIT	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	·	6	12	0

Last play · Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.

Win probability

Pirates100%

TB 0%PIT 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 2 – 4 PIT

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Hunter Feduccia singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Richie Palacios scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 5) — -31% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–PIT · 7 total

9Junior Caminero homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.3–6

8Nick Yorke homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–6

6Spencer Horwitz homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–5

5Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Billy Cook scores. Nick Gonzales scores.2–4

5Nick Gonzales singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca, deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Joey Bart scores. Billy Cook to 3rd. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.2–2

5Hunter Feduccia singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Richie Palacios scores. Jonny DeLuca scores.2–1

1Bryan Reynolds grounds into a force out, shortstop Taylor Walls to second baseman Richie Palacios. Jake Mangum scores. Nick Gonzales out at 2nd. Bryan Reynolds to 1st.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.