Cubs at Pirates

Scoreboard

CHC1–PIT2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · CHC 29-25 · PIT 28-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	2
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	·	2	8	0

Last play · Carson Kelly grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

Win probability

Pirates100%

CHC 0%PIT 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 1 PIT

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-123 / +102

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Henry Davis homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — +22% Pirates

Scoring plays

CHC–PIT · 3 total

7Henry Davis homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–2

5Michael Busch homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–1

3Brandon Lowe doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Spencer Horwitz scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.