Cubs at Pirates

Scoreboard

CHC7–PIT2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · CHC 31-26 · PIT 29-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	1	7	8	0
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6	2

Last play · Spencer Horwitz flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Win probability

Pirates0%

CHC 100%PIT 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 0 PIT

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+144 / -175

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 8) — -21% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–PIT · 8 total

9Cubs challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Alex Bregman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.7–2

8Miguel Amaya walks. Seiya Suzuki scores. Michael Conforto to 3rd. Passed ball by catcher Henry Davis.6–2

8Ian Happ homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Alex Bregman scores.5–2

6Tyler Callihan doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jhostynxon Garcia scores.3–2

6Bryan Reynolds homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.3–1

6Seiya Suzuki grounds into a force out, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Alex Bregman scores. Ian Happ out at 2nd. Seiya Suzuki to 1st.3–0

6Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jared Triolo. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Jared Triolo.2–0

4Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to left fielder Jhostynxon Garcia. Michael Busch scores. Ian Happ to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.