Cubs at Pirates

Scoreboard

CHC10–PIT4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · CHC 30-26 · PIT 29-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	2	1	0	1	0	0	6	0	0	10	14	0
PIT	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	1

Last play · Esmerlyn Valdez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.

Win probability

Pirates0%

CHC 100%PIT 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 4 – 4 PIT

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -125

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 7) — -41% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–PIT · 8 total

7Michael Busch singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.10–4

7Michael Conforto homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Seiya Suzuki scores.9–4

7Ian Happ homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman scores.7–4

4Konnor Griffin homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.4–4

4Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Dansby Swanson scores.4–3

3Brandon Lowe homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Endy Rodríguez scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.3–3

2Nico Hoerner singles on a fly ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Carson Kelly scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.3–0

1Ian Happ singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.