Marlins at Pirates

Scoreboard

MIA2–PIT3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · MIA 35-36 · PIT 36-35

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7	0
PIT	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	·	3	8	0

Last play · Liam Hicks grounds out softly, pitcher Gregory Soto to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

Win probability

Pirates100%

MIA 0%PIT 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 2 PIT

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz hit by pitch. Tyler Callihan scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Jared Triolo to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Pirates

Scoring plays

MIA–PIT · 5 total

8Spencer Horwitz hit by pitch. Tyler Callihan scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Jared Triolo to 2nd.2–3

6Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Xavier Edwards scores. Kyle Stowers to 3rd. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.2–2

3Bryan Reynolds doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Spencer Horwitz scores.1–2

3Liam Hicks singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jakob Marsee scores.1–1

1Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Spencer Horwitz scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.