Cubs at Pirates

Scoreboard

CHC7–PIT8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · CHC 59-46 · PIT 54-52

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1	2	7	12	0
PIT	0	3	4	0	1	0	0	0	·	8	11	0

Last play · Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Pirates100%

CHC 0%PIT 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 4 – 8 PIT

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -144

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Shawn Ross homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. (inning 2) — +20% Pirates

Scoring plays

CHC–PIT · 8 total

9Seiya Suzuki homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Dansby Swanson scores.7–8

8Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Michael Busch scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.5–8

5Esmerlyn Valdez singles on a line drive to right fielder Michael Conforto. Brandon Lowe scores.4–8

4Pete Crow-Armstrong triples (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Jake Mangum. Pedro Ramírez scores.4–7

4Pedro Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Mangum. Michael Conforto scores.3–7

4Carson Kelly grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Conforto to 3rd.2–7

3Ryan O'Hearn hits a grand slam (17) to center field. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Esmerlyn Valdez scores.1–7

2Shawn Ross homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.1–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.