Cubs at Pirates

Scoreboard

CHC3–PIT2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · CHC 58-45 · PIT 53-51

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	6	0
PIT	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	0

Last play · Bryan Reynolds lines out sharply to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Win probability

Pirates0%

CHC 100%PIT 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 0 – 1 PIT

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Ian Happ scores. Pedro Ramírez to 2nd. (inning 10) — -26% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–PIT · 5 total

10Nick Gonzales grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Henry Davis scores.3–2

10Seiya Suzuki walks. Pedro Ramírez scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.3–1

10Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Ian Happ scores. Pedro Ramírez to 2nd.2–1

6Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.1–1

5Henry Davis singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Marcell Ozuna scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Jared Triolo to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.