D-backs at Pirates

Scoreboard

AZ3–PIT0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

PNC Park · AZ 57-52 · PIT 55-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	6	0
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

Last play · Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd.

Win probability

Pirates0%

AZ 100%PIT 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 2 – 0 PIT

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+118 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Pirates favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 4) — -26% D-backs

Scoring plays

AZ–PIT · 2 total

6Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.3–0

4Gabriel Moreno homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Corbin Carroll scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.