Angels at Pirates
Last play · Travis d'Arnaud called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
LAA 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 1 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+163 / -198
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Pirates favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis grounds out, shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Vaughn Grissom. (inning 8) — +12% Pirates
2Jake Mangum doubles (17) on a ground ball to right fielder Wade Meckler. Konnor Griffin scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
