Cubs at Padres

Scoreboard

CHC5–SD4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · CHC 19-12 · SD 19-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	5	9	0
SD	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	4	3	0

Last play · Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Padres0%

CHC 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 3 – 3 SD

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 5) — +29% Padres

Scoring plays

CHC–SD · 7 total

8Fernando Tatis Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryce Johnson to 3rd.5–4

8Matt Shaw homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.5–3

6Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out to first baseman Ty France. Michael Conforto scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.4–3

5Nick Castellanos homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Cronenworth scores.3–3

5Miguel Andujar homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–1

4Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Shaw scores.3–0

2Miguel Amaya singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Michael Conforto scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.