Cubs at Padres

Scoreboard

CHC8–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · CHC 18-12 · SD 19-10

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	8	8	0
SD	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	6	1

Last play · Bryce Johnson flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Win probability

Padres0%

CHC 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 2 – 2 SD

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Nicky Lopez scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 6) — -29% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–SD · 7 total

7Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Carson Kelly scores. Alex Bregman scores.8–3

7Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryce Johnson. Seiya Suzuki scores. Carson Kelly to 2nd.5–3

6Luis Campusano singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Ty France scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd.4–3

6Nico Hoerner doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Nicky Lopez scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.4–2

4Ty France singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Xander Bogaerts scores.2–2

2Xander Bogaerts homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–1

2Dansby Swanson doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ian Happ scores. Michael Busch scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.