White Sox at Padres
Last play · Bryce Johnson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
CWS 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 7 – 0 SD
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49.4% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -192
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Padres favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Antonacci singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. (inning 2) — -15% White Sox
8Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Miguel Andujar to 2nd.8–2
8Miguel Andujar singles on a ground ball to shortstop Colson Montgomery, deflected by second baseman Chase Meidroth. Bryce Johnson scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.8–1
8Tristan Peters singles on a line drive to center fielder Bryce Johnson. Sam Antonacci scores. Austin Hays to 2nd.8–0
5Colson Montgomery homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.7–0
2Munetaka Murakami homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Tristan Peters scores. Drew Romo scores.6–0
2Andrew Benintendi out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Bryce Johnson. Austin Hays scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.3–0
2Austin Hays grounds into a force out, third baseman Manny Machado to second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. Chase Meidroth scores. Sam Antonacci out at 2nd. Austin Hays to 1st.2–0
2Sam Antonacci singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
