Cardinals at Padres

Scoreboard

STL2–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · STL 23-17 · SD 24-16

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
STL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	4	0

Last play · Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Ramón Laureano scores.

Win probability

Padres100%

STL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 2 – 0 SD

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+114 / -137

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 9) — +49% Padres

Scoring plays

STL–SD · 3 total

10Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Ramón Laureano scores.2–3

9Nick Castellanos homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Xander Bogaerts scores.2–2

4Jordan Walker homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.