Cardinals at Padres

Scoreboard

STL2–SD4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · STL 23-16 · SD 23-16

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	1
SD	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	·	4	5	0

Last play · JJ Wetherholt called out on strikes.

Win probability

Padres100%

STL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 1 – 3 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.4% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -144

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Sung-Mun Song scores. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 5) — +25% Padres

Scoring plays

STL–SD · 5 total

8Manny Machado homers (6) on a line drive to left center field.2–4

8Iván Herrera doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. JJ Wetherholt scores.2–3

5Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Sung-Mun Song scores. Freddy Fermin scores.1–3

5Ty France homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–1

4Nathan Church doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jordan Walker scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.