Braves at Padres

Scoreboard

ATL6–SD7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · ATL 48-30 · SD 41-37

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
ATL	0	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	9	1
SD	0	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7	9	1

Last play · Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jackson Merrill scores.

Win probability

Padres100%

ATL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

ATL 6 – 5 SD

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-117 / -103

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓

Biggest swing · Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — +28% Padres

Scoring plays

ATL–SD · 8 total

10Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jackson Merrill scores.6–7

7Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–6

5Mauricio Dubón homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.6–5

4Ozzie Albies doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Samad Taylor. Michael Harris II scores.5–5

2Samad Taylor singles on a ground ball to shortstop Mauricio Dubón. Sung-Mun Song scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Samad Taylor to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Mauricio Dubón.4–5

2Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Rodolfo Durán scores. Sung-Mun Song to 3rd.4–3

2Sung-Mun Song singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dominic Smith. Will Wagner scores. Rodolfo Durán to 2nd.4–2

2Rodolfo Durán singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dominic Smith. Xander Bogaerts scores. Will Wagner to 2nd.4–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.