Braves at Padres
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Padres100%
ATL 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 3 SD
Padres led after 5
Padres favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Bart homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Riley scores. (inning 6) — -22% Braves
6Samad Taylor singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Eli White. Ty France scores. Jase Bowen scores.2–5
6Joey Bart homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Riley scores.2–3
5Xander Bogaerts singles on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Samad Taylor to 3rd.0–3
4Ty France out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Eli White. Manny Machado scores.0–2
3Ty France homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
