D-backs at Padres

Scoreboard

AZ1–SD4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · AZ 45-46 · SD 45-46

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1
SD	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	·	4	6	1

Last play · Nolan Arenado called out on strikes.

Win probability

Padres100%

AZ 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 1 – 4 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -148

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores. (inning 1) — +24% Padres

Scoring plays

AZ–SD · 3 total

1Jake Cronenworth homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores.1–4

1Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.1–1

1Max Kepler walks. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd. Gabriel Moreno to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.