D-backs at Padres

Scoreboard

AZ4–SD10

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · AZ 45-47 · SD 46-46

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	10	1
SD	0	0	1	1	2	4	2	0	·	10	13	1

Last play · Ketel Marte grounds out, first baseman Gavin Sheets to pitcher Kyle Hart.

Win probability

Padres100%

AZ 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 1 – 4 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 49.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+108 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler, deflected by shortstop Ildemaro Vargas. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 5) — +18% Padres

Scoring plays

AZ–SD · 8 total

8Max Kepler doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Corbin Carroll scores.4–10

7Jase Bowen singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Miguel Andujar scores.3–10

7Miguel Andujar doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Jake Cronenworth scores.3–9

7Tommy Troy homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.3–8

6Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.1–8

6Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Sung-Mun Song scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.1–7

6Sung-Mun Song singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Miguel Andujar scores.1–6

6Luis Campusano homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.