Blue Jays at Padres

Scoreboard

TOR5–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · TOR 45-49 · SD 46-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	5	9	0
SD	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	10	0

Last play · Xander Bogaerts grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Padres0%

TOR 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 5 – 2 SD

Blue Jays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.4% · hold 4.4%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-108 / -111

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Kazuma Okamoto homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 5) — -36% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

TOR–SD · 5 total

9Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to left fielder Myles Straw. Luis Campusano scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.5–3

5Kazuma Okamoto homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.5–2

5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Myles Straw scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd.2–2

4Alejandro Kirk doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer to 3rd.1–2

1Xander Bogaerts homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Merrill scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.