D-backs at Padres
Last play · Xander Bogaerts strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Padres0%
AZ 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 SD
D-backs led after 5
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tommy Troy scores. (inning 5) — -16% D-backs
6Nolan Arenado homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
5Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tommy Troy scores.2–1
4Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.1–1
2Manny Machado homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
