Blue Jays at Padres

Scoreboard

TOR7–SD8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · TOR 45-50 · SD 47-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	7	8	0
SD	2	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	·	8	8	1

Last play · Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Padres100%

TOR 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 4 – 7 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-126 / +105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jonatan Clase scores. Nathan Lukes scores. (inning 6) — -39% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

TOR–SD · 8 total

6Ty France homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.7–8

6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jonatan Clase scores. Nathan Lukes scores.7–7

4Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Gavin Sheets scores. Ty France to 3rd.4–7

3Sung-Mun Song singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Ty France scores. Jake Cronenworth scores.4–6

2Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Sung-Mun Song scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.4–4

2Jonatan Clase homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Alejandro Kirk scores.4–2

2Andrés Giménez grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France. Daulton Varsho scores.2–2

2Alejandro Kirk doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd.1–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.