Blue Jays at Padres

Scoreboard

TOR4–SD5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · TOR 45-51 · SD 48-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	9	1
SD	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	·	5	7	0

Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Padres100%

TOR 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 3 – 3 SD

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-126 / +105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 8) — +32% Padres

Scoring plays

TOR–SD · 8 total

8Ty France out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jase Bowen scores.4–5

8Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Xander Bogaerts scores.4–4

8Jonatan Clase singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Daulton Varsho scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.4–3

4Ernie Clement homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Andrés Giménez scores.3–3

2Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.1–3

2Sung-Mun Song walks. Gavin Sheets scores. Ty France to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.1–2

2Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Jonatan Clase. Manny Machado scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Ty France to 2nd.1–1

1Nathan Lukes homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.