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Astros at Padres

HOU2SD7
Final
Inn123456789RHE
HOU020000000220
SD01030102·7120
Last play · Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
HOU 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 24 SD
Padres led after 5
Inning 2: Daulton Varsho homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Taylor Trammell scores.Inning 2: Jackson Merrill homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 4: Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Rengifo scores. Freddy Fermin scores.Inning 6: Gavin Sheets homers (15) on a line drive to right field.Inning 8: Austin Hays homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Jase Bowen scores.
Padres favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Rengifo scores. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 4) — +38% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.