Astros at Padres

Scoreboard

HOU2–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · HOU 60-58 · SD 61-57

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	1
SD	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	·	3	5	1

Last play · LaMonte Wade Jr. grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.

Win probability

Padres100%

HOU 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 3 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+108 / -116

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — +11% Padres

Scoring plays

HOU–SD · 5 total

9Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to left fielder Jase Bowen. Christian Walker scores.2–3

4Fernando Tatis Jr. reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Gavin Sheets scores.1–3

3Jackson Merrill homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–2

2Taylor Trammell homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1

1Jackson Merrill flies into a force out, right fielder Cam Smith to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Ty France out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.