Astros at Padres

Scoreboard

HOU6–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · HOU 60-57 · SD 60-57

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	6	11	1
SD	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	7	0

Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.

Win probability

Padres0%

HOU 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 4 – 3 SD

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+108 / -116

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Cam Smith homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — -23% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–SD · 8 total

8Jeremy Peña grounds into a double play, second baseman Luis Rengifo to first baseman Jake Cronenworth to shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Cam Smith scores. Jake Meyers out at 2nd. Jeremy Peña out at 1st.6–3

6Cam Smith homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.5–3

5Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.4–3

4Gavin Sheets grounds into a double play, first baseman Christian Walker to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Jackson Merrill scores. Luis Campusano out at 2nd. Gavin Sheets out at 1st.4–2

4Jackson Merrill triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Manny Machado scores.4–1

4Yordan Alvarez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Jake Meyers scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.4–0

3Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.3–0

2Cam Smith homers (14) on a line drive to left center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.