Brewers at Padres

Scoreboard

MIL2–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIL 74-45 · SD 63-57

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	·	3	5	0

Last play · Brandon Lockridge caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Freddy Fermin to shortstop Sung-Mun Song.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 2 – 1 SD

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-126 / +118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Ty France scores. (inning 7) — +44% Padres

Scoring plays

MIL–SD · 3 total

7Jackson Merrill homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Ty France scores.2–3

2Ty France homers (17) on a line drive to left field.2–1

2Christian Yelich homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. William Contreras scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.