Brewers at Padres

Scoreboard

MIL2–SD11

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIL 74-46 · SD 64-57

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	3
SD	0	5	0	1	2	3	0	0	·	11	17	0

Last play · Brandon Lockridge grounds out softly, catcher Luis Campusano to first baseman Ty France.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 1 – 8 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-120 / +112

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Luis Rengifo hits a grand slam (3) to left field. Luis Campusano scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 2) — +25% Padres

Scoring plays

MIL–SD · 8 total

9Brice Turang doubles (28) on a line drive to right fielder Gavin Sheets. Luis Lara scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd.2–11

6Luis Campusano singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Jackson Merrill scores. Luis Campusano to 2nd. Luis Campusano advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Brandon Lockridge.1–11

6Austin Hays grounds out, third baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Jake Bauers. Ty France scores.1–10

6Jackson Merrill doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Manny Machado scores. Ty France to 3rd.1–9

5Luis Campusano homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Hays scores.1–8

4Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–6

3Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France. David Hamilton scores. Jihwan Bae to 3rd.1–5

2Luis Rengifo hits a grand slam (3) to left field. Luis Campusano scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.0–5

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.