Brewers at Padres

Scoreboard

MIL3–SD4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIL 74-47 · SD 65-57

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
MIL	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	1
SD	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4	7	2

Last play · Luis Campusano singles on a line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Sung-Mun Song scores.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 2 – 1 SD

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-120 / +112

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gary Sánchez doubles (8) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Luis Rengifo. Jihwan Bae scores. (inning 11) — -44% Brewers

Scoring plays

MIL–SD · 7 total

11Luis Campusano singles on a line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Sung-Mun Song scores.3–4

11Jackson Merrill out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luis Lara. Jake Cronenworth scores.3–3

11Gary Sánchez doubles (8) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Luis Rengifo. Jihwan Bae scores.3–2

8Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jake Bauers. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Rengifo to 2nd.2–2

3Xander Bogaerts homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–1

3Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Joey Ortiz scores. Brice Turang to 3rd. Brice Turang advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by center fielder Jackson Merrill.2–0

2Gary Sánchez homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.