Twins at Padres

Scoreboard

MIN2–SD6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIN 63-66 · SD 69-60

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0
SD	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Josh Bell strikes out on a foul tip.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIN 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 2 – 6 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+129 / -139

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Kody Clemens triples (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Byron Buxton scores. Josh Bell scores. (inning 4) — -25% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–SD · 6 total

5Ty France out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Luis Rengifo scores. Manny Machado to 2nd.2–6

5Manny Machado singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Rengifo to 3rd.2–5

5Luis Rengifo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.2–4

5Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Austin Hays scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.2–3

4Kody Clemens triples (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Byron Buxton scores. Josh Bell scores.2–2

1Ty France homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Manny Machado scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.