Twins at Padres

Scoreboard

MIN5–SD7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIN 63-67 · SD 70-60

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	10	2
SD	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	·	7	10	0

Last play · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIN 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 5 – 1 SD

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 52.6% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+142 / -153

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens. Freddy Fermin scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 7) — +26% Padres

Scoring plays

MIN–SD · 8 total

8Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Luis Campusano scores. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.5–7

7Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Manny Machado scores.5–6

7Manny Machado reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Kaelen Culpepper. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 2nd. Missed catch error by third baseman Brooks Lee, assist to shortstop Kaelen Culpepper.5–5

7Jake Cronenworth doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens. Freddy Fermin scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.5–4

6Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 2nd.5–2

4Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brooks Lee scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.5–1

3Kody Clemens singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ryan Jeffers scores.4–1

2Jackson Merrill homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.3–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.