Pirates at Padres

Scoreboard

PIT3–SD2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · PIT 64-69 · SD 71-61

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	0
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7	0

Last play · Padres challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Dustin Harris strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Padres0%

PIT 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 0 – 0 SD

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+115 / -123

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jared Triolo scores. (inning 12) — -44% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–SD · 5 total

12Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jared Triolo scores.3–2

8Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Dustin Harris scores.2–2

6Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz.2–1

6Rafael Flores Jr. doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Bryan Reynolds scores.2–0

6Esmerlyn Valdez homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.