Pirates at Padres

Scoreboard

PIT0–SD3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · PIT 65-70 · SD 72-62

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1
SD	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	·	3	7	0

Last play · Spencer Horwitz pops out softly to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.

Win probability

Padres100%

PIT 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 0 – 2 SD

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+126 / -135

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — +10% Padres

Scoring plays

PIT–SD · 3 total

8Jake Cronenworth doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Freddy Fermin scores.0–3

4Jackson Merrill triples (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Manny Machado scores.0–2

2Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Jackson Merrill scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.