Dodgers at Giants
Last play · Willy Adames grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
Win probability
Giants0%
LAD 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 0 SF
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-163 / +135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Max Muncy scores. Dalton Rushing to 2nd. (inning 2) — -15% Dodgers
4Hyeseong Kim singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Max Muncy scores. Hyeseong Kim to 2nd.3–0
4Max Muncy doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Kyle Tucker scores. Throwing error by center fielder Drew Gilbert.2–0
2Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Max Muncy scores. Dalton Rushing to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
