Dodgers at Giants
Last play · Andy Pages grounds out, pitcher Ryan Walker to first baseman Rafael Devers.
Win probability
Giants100%
LAD 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-163 / +135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Bailey homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 7) — +36% Giants
7Patrick Bailey homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
