White Sox at Giants
Last play · Luis Arraez flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
Win probability
Giants0%
CWS 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 9 – 3 SF
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-103 / -117
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Munetaka Murakami scores. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. (inning 4) — -21% White Sox
6Jesus Rodriguez grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Matt Chapman scores.9–4
5Casey Schmitt grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Willy Adames scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.9–3
5Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Drew Gilbert scores. Willy Adames to 2nd.9–2
5Willy Adames grounds into a force out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth. Jesus Rodriguez scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd. Harrison Bader out at 2nd. Willy Adames to 1st.9–1
4Miguel Vargas singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Munetaka Murakami scores. Throwing error by shortstop Willy Adames.9–0
4Munetaka Murakami doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Edgar Quero scores. Derek Hill scores. Sam Antonacci scores.8–0
4Derek Hill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Andrew Benintendi scores. Edgar Quero to 2nd.5–0
4Edgar Quero reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Luis Arraez. Chase Meidroth scores. Andrew Benintendi to 3rd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
