White Sox at Giants
Last play · Sam Antonacci grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.
Win probability
Giants100%
CWS 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 9 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-103 / -117
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Casey Schmitt homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 5) — +25% Giants
8Willy Adames homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.3–10
5Harrison Bader hits a grand slam (5) to center field. Matt Chapman scores. Daniel Susac scores. Bryce Eldridge scores.3–9
5Casey Schmitt homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Arraez scores.3–5
5Miguel Vargas doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Sam Antonacci scores.3–3
5Sam Antonacci grounds into a force out, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez. Tristan Peters scores. Drew Romo out at 2nd. Sam Antonacci to 1st.2–3
5Drew Romo singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Jarred Kelenic scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.1–3
4Daniel Susac singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Rafael Devers scores. Matt Chapman scores.0–3
4Casey Schmitt out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Luis Arraez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
