Nationals at Giants
Last play · Bryce Eldridge strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
WSH 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-112 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonah Cox. Luis García Jr. scores. José Tena scores. (inning 9) — -44% Nationals
9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonah Cox. CJ Abrams scores.4–3
9CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonah Cox. Luis García Jr. scores. José Tena scores.3–3
8Jonah Cox out on a sacrifice bunt to first baseman Curtis Mead. Bryce Eldridge scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.1–3
8Bryce Eldridge doubles (8) on a soft line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Jung Hoo Lee scores.1–2
6Matt Chapman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.1–1
6Luis García Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
