D-backs at Giants
Last play · Matt Chapman flies out to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.
Win probability
Giants0%
AZ 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-114 / -106
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Drew Gilbert scores. Willy Adames scores. (inning 3) — +23% Giants
7Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Tommy Troy scores.3–2
6Ildemaro Vargas out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Brennan. Geraldo Perdomo scores.2–2
6Adrian Del Castillo singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.1–2
3Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Drew Gilbert scores. Willy Adames scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
